Analyzing meat production dynamics and future prospects in Republic of North Macedonia

Joshevska, Elena and Dimitrovska, Gordana and Makarijoski, Borche (2024) Analyzing meat production dynamics and future prospects in Republic of North Macedonia. Bulgarian Journal of Animal Husbandry, 61 (4). pp. 48-55. ISSN 2534-9856

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Abstract

This study examines the current state and future perspectives of meat production in Republic of
North Macedonia. The authors analyzed the volume of meat production (tons) by type (beef, pork, poultry,
etc.), exploring production levels and market share for each type. Market capacity is assessed using time series
data on domestic production and import volumes (disaggregated by meat type and total). Trends over time
are investigated through chain and base index calculations. Finally, the triple exponential smoothing method
implemented in Excel software is employed to forecast future meat production trends in North Macedonia.
Pork meat production increases in total meat production from around 35% in the period 2000–2010, up to the
record levels of over 63% in 2020 and 2021. This suggests pork became the dominant meat in North Macedonia
during this period. The share of beef meet production decreases from 23.6% in 2001, to 16.5%-18.5% in the
last three years. Share of sheep meat production had an increase in the first decade of analyzed period reaching
nearly 29.4% in 2011, but has decreased on around 13.5% -16.7% in the last decade. The share of poultry meat
production in the analyzed period has decreased from 11.2% in 2004, up to 8.1% in 2022.
Additionally, the forecasts will offer valuable information for stakeholders regarding potential future directions
and growth prospects within the industry
Keywords: meat production; dynamic; quality; market capacity

Item Type: Article
Divisions: Faculty of Biotechnical Sciences
Depositing User: Mrs Gordana Dimitrovska
Date Deposited: 04 Apr 2025 07:59
Last Modified: 04 Apr 2025 07:59
URI: https://eprints.uklo.edu.mk/id/eprint/10861

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