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Machine Learning and Mathematical Modeling in Agricultural Development

  • 2026
  • OriginalPaper
  • Chapter
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Abstract

This chapter explores the transformative potential of machine learning (ML) and mathematical modeling in agricultural development, focusing on optimizing crop selection, pest prediction, and yield estimation. The research introduces a crop recommendation system that leverages agro-environmental data to suggest the most suitable crops based on soil nutrient levels and climate factors. Mathematical modeling is employed to analyze datasets, establish correlations, and validate the statistical soundness of predictions. The study compares six ML classifiers—Decision Tree, Random Forest, Gaussian Naive Bayes, Logistic Regression, XGBoost, and Support Vector Machine—using metrics like precision, recall, F1-score, and accuracy. Ensemble models like Random Forest and XGBoost achieved the highest accuracy, demonstrating their robustness in handling complex, high-dimensional agricultural datasets. The integration of IoT frameworks supports real-time sensor data for dynamic and location-aware crop recommendations. The chapter also discusses the practical applications of these models, such as predicting the most suitable crop for given soil and climate parameters, and highlights the superior performance of ensemble and probabilistic models in agricultural decision-making systems.

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Title
Machine Learning and Mathematical Modeling in Agricultural Development
Authors
Vesna Knights
Olivera Petrovska
Marija Prchkovska
Copyright Year
2026
DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-032-07373-0_18
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